*Editors Note: Before the start of each week, we’ll go over how the previous week’s selections fared.
Top QB: Ben Roethlisberger – finished 10th
QB Sit: Blake Bortles– finished 9th
QB Sleeper: Joe Flacco – finished outside top 25
Top RB: Jay Ajayi– finished 13th
RB Sit: Isaiah Crowell – finished outisde top 25
RB Sleeper: Thomas Rawls – finished outside top 25
Top WR: Doug Baldwin – finished outside top 25
WR Sit: Terrell Pryor – finished 17th
WR Sleeper: Jordan Matthews – finished outside top 25 (left game due to injury)
Top TE: Kyle Rudolph – finished 13th
TE Sit: Austin Hooper – finished outside top 25
TE Sleeper: Eric Ebron– finished outside top 25
Top D/ST: Buffalo – finished 23rd
D/ST Sit: NYJ – finished outside top 25
D/ST Sleeper: Tennessee – finished 19th
Week 13 Predictions
Top QB: Matt Ryan – The matchup against Kansas City may look scary at first, but this is Matt Ryan. Even Trevor Siemian put up 29 points against them last week. Ryan averages 23 fantasy points per game at home and the Chiefs have allowed 18 PPG to QBs this season, while giving up 22.5 PPG in their last six outings.
QB Sit: Blake Bortles – I’m going to go with Bortles again for the sit section during Week 13 as he goes up against the worst matchup in the whole league facing the Denver Broncos defense. The Broncos give up just 12.7 points per game to opposing QBs, which is dead last in the NFL. Denver has also surrendered only 10 touchdowns all-season. Considering that Bortles is dealing with the worst matchup of the week, in addition to how inconsistent he’s looked at times, it’s a no brainer “sit him” scenario.
QB Sleeper: Philip Rivers – Rivers is going to have a very good statistical floor this week at home against the Bucs. Tampa has given up 18 PPG to QBs on the season, and while that isn’t a great matchup when compared to the rest of the league, Rivers has been rolling lately with at least 17 points in his last three games.
Top RB: Jordan Howard – Well, we all know what happens when a dream matchup comes together. It seemingly never pans out – let’s try it though. Jordan Howard goes up against the absolute worst fantasy run defense on a team that has no passing attack at all. No Jay Cutler, Zach Miller, or Alshon Jeffery inquires a lot of signs that Howard is going to get a huge bulk of carries. Howard produced 12.7 points last week (in non-PPR leagues) which was impressive against a Titans D that is actually 10th best in the league. San Francisco allows 27.2 PPG to running backs (five more than the next team). In total, the 49ers have yielded 1,637 yards on the ground for 17 touchdowns – all league worsts.
RB Sit: Todd Gurley – Well, this guy is not fixed. In spite of last week’s matchup against the Saints (one of the worst run defenses in football) Gurley still mustered only 50 rushing yards. With a duel against the Patriots this week, a team who have allowed an average of just 15.6 fantasy points and two touchdowns to RB’s at Gillette Stadium this year. Understandably, benching Gurley may seem crazy still, but if you’ve got better options you need to do it.
RB Sleeper: Theo Riddick – Attention PPR Leagues, there is no need to have Riddick on a bench this week as a plus matchup at the Superdome presents itself in Week 13. With a New Orleans defense that still hasn’t cured all of its ailments – as they still allow the fifth worst total to RBs at 21.3 PPG. The Saints have also given up 577 receiving yards to running backs as well as three touchdown grabs. With that said, it makes sense to stream Riddick as a RB 2 or a top flex candidate.
Top WR: Julio Jones – Since I am going with Matt Ryan at QB, I will complete the combo and go with Julio Jones this week against the Chiefs. Kansas City has allowed 27.3 PPG to WRs (2nd worst in league), 2,221 yards in the air to WRs (2nd worst in the league by just 30 yards), and 14 touchdowns (5th most). Jones’ production should flourish this week.
WR Sit: Jarvis Landry – Like Gurley, this is another tough player to sit. Landry (although Tannehill has been better lately), just can’t seem to get much rolling. Landry is great for PPR totals, but he even failed to put up five points against the 49ers last week, which is fantasy’s worst unit to WRs. Landry also hasn’t scored double digits (in non-PPR leagues) in a game since Week 3. Depending on your league’s roster size, you can afford to bench him this week.
WR Sleeper: Tyrell Williams – This matchup on paper isn’t great at all when you look at the fact that the Bucs are right in the middle at 15th in PPG to WRs, but when you realize that’s only four points off the worst total, you definitely feel better about this one. Williams has scored 12+ fantasy points in four of his last five games, and has a TD in three straight weeks. The hot streak should keep rolling against Tampa Bay who have given up 28+ fantasy points to wide receivers six different times already this season.
Top TE: Jimmy Graham – Russell Wilson’s tight ends have registered five fantasy points or fewer in two of his last three games, with 4.7 points performance last week against the Bucs. There is no reason to put Jimmy Graham on a bench this week against the Panthers, which poses a defense that should get him back on track. Carolina has allowed the third most points (11.1 per game) to tight ends. This position been an absolute mess in 2016 at times, so take this section with a grain of salt.
TE Sit: Jared Cook – Cook has all the ‘stuff’ to be a great TE in Aaron Rodgers’ bag of tricks, but tough matchups strung together has definitely held Cook’s production to small amounts. This week’s game against Houston is just another part of that. The Texans defense has given up the fifth fewest total (5.3 PPG) to tight ends.
TE Sleeper: Kyle Rudolph – Seems like Rudolph has been here every week this season, and there is yet again another reason to showcase him. Rudolph got 10 targets in last week’s game against Detroit where he had nine catches for 64 yards. A very respectable total of 15.4 in PPR leagues. Next up this week, is a sad matchup against Dallas who have given up 9.61 PPG to TE’s this season (sixth worst in the league and fifth worst in Week 13 after accounting for Cleveland’s bye.)
Top D/ST: Baltimore – Well, no Browns to pick on this week so I will go with Baltimore. A matchup at home against the Dolphins could propel the Ravens’ unit this week. The Dolphins have a banged up offensive line and a quarterback who can turn the ball over quite a lot. Not a lot of options this week so again, take this with a grain of salt.
D/ST Sit: Houston – Well, Aaron Rodgers is red hot lately, and the Texans roll into Lambeau in a horrible matchup. Opposing defenses have averaged just three points against them since Week 11.
D/ST Sleeper: New England – A matchup at home against rookie QB Jared Goff could be very favorable for the Patriots. Here’s an incredible stat: since 2001, rookie QB’s playing in Foxborough have averaged 202 passing yards and a 51.7 passer rating with just four touchdowns and 14 interceptions.